Proxel-Based Digital Twin for Reliability Assessment of Energy Systems through Data-Driven Fault Trees
- Type:Master Thesis
- Supervisor:
Omar Mostafa
Prof. Sanja Lazarova-Molnar
Description
Problem:
Build a reliability-oriented digital twin for a small photovoltaic system. Automatically extract repairable/multi-state fault trees from operational logs (e.g., fault records, sensor data, weather) and simulate them using the Proxel-based method to obtain transient reliability/availability. Calculate component importance (e.g., Birnbaum or Fussell-Vesely) to prioritize maintenance and operational adjustments.
Goal:
Benchmark Proxel-based simulation results against Discrete-Event simulation in terms of accuracy and runtime, and evaluate sensitivity to data availability. The deliverables are a reproducible pipeline (Python), a case study report, and guidelines on data requirements for reliability-focused digital twins.
Required Skills and Knowledge:
- Stochastic modeling (fault trees/Markov models)
- Programming in Python
- Data visualization
- Power systems/PV fundamentals
- Simulation methods
- Bonus: basic machine learning for simple classification.